education
3 gates affect this dimension · earliest meaningful change:
2029
AI agent autonomously handles 30%+ of a typical knowledge-work job
conf: medium
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2028
P50 2029
P90 2033
Robotaxi reaches profitable unit economics in 5+ US cities
conf: high
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2027
P50 2029
P90 2033
AI tutor matches human teacher on K-8 metrics at < $20/month
conf: medium
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2028
P50 2031
P90 2036