food-availability
6 gates affect this dimension · earliest meaningful change:
2033
Autonomous trucking + last-mile delivery cuts labor share of freight cost by ≥ 30%
draft
conf: medium
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2030
P50 2033
P90 2040
Humanoid robots build a factory that manufactures more humanoid robots
draft
conf: low
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2031
P50 2034
P90 2042
Autonomous robot crew drop-deployed on empty land produces positive ROI in 24 months
draft
conf: low
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2030
P50 2035
P90 2045
Cell-cultured beef at retail price parity with conventional ground beef
draft
conf: low
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2032
P50 2036
P90 2046
Cucumber retail price drops by 80% from 2026 baseline
draft
conf: low
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2033
P50 2042
P90 → 2053
Home-grown vegetables (cucumber + 2 others) reach all-in cost parity with OECD supermarket prices for a household of 4
draft
conf: medium
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2034
P50 2042
P90 → 2058