utilities
9 gates affect this dimension · earliest meaningful change:
2028
LME copper cash settlement sustains at or above each of $12,000 / $15,000 / $20,000 / $25,000 per tonne (≥1 quarter average)
draft
conf: medium
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2026
P50 2028
P90 2031
U3O8 spot sustains at or above each of $100 / $150 / $200 / $300 per lb (≥1 quarter)
draft
conf: medium
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2027
P50 2029
P90 2034
WTI crude front-month trades at or below each of $55 / $50 / $40 per barrel (first touch)
draft
conf: medium
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2027
P50 2029
P90 2034
Henry Hub natural gas annual-average spot crosses each of $4 / $5 / $7 / $10 per MMBtu
draft
conf: medium
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2028
P50 2031
P90 2038
First commercial SMR in OECD providing baseload
draft
conf: medium
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2030
P50 2032
P90 2037
Residential solar+storage < $0.04/kWh delivered
draft
conf: medium
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2030
P50 2033
P90 2040
Autonomous robot crew drop-deployed on empty land produces positive ROI in 24 months
draft
conf: low
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2030
P50 2035
P90 2045
Home-grown vegetables (cucumber + 2 others) reach all-in cost parity with OECD supermarket prices for a household of 4
draft
conf: medium
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2034
P50 2042
P90 → 2058
Real global GDP crosses 1.5× / 2× / 3× / 6× of 2026 baseline (sustained ≥1 year)
draft
conf: low
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2036
P50 2049
P90 → 2080