childcare
3 gates affect this dimension · earliest meaningful change:
2028
Mass-market general-purpose humanoid robot reaches < $20,000 retail in an OECD market
draft
conf: medium
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2026
P50 2028
P90 2033
AI tutor matches human teacher on K-8 metrics at < $20/month
draft
conf: medium
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2028
P50 2031
P90 2036
Humanoid robots reach 10 million units sold to households globally (cumulative)
draft
conf: medium
2027
2030
2033
2036
2040
2045
2050
P10 2031
P50 2035
P90 2043